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    • May 25, 2018 Deutsche Beteiligungs – Market decline weighs on H118 performance

      Deutsche Beteiligungs (DBAG) reported €19.3m net income for the first half of FY18, with a 4.5% dividend-adjusted NAV return. NAV per share declined slightly to €29.43 at end-March 2018, after payment of the €1.40 FY17 dividend. Management has lowered earnings guidance for FY18 due to a decline in market valuation multiples that also weighed on returns in the first half, while the underlying progress of portfolio companies remains broadly on track. The recent sharp decline in the share price premium to NAV to 19.6% suggests the market may now be applying an underlying discount to the NAV of the private equity investment portfolio.

    • April 09, 2018 paragon – Strong progress expected

      Having delivered results that were in line with our expectations, paragon has guided to strong progress in FY18 with sales rising by 40% to around €175m and an adjusted EBIT margin maintained at around 9%. The growth will be primarily driven by Electromobility (Voltabox), but there will also be strong development by the smaller Mechanics division with good organic progress in Electronics. The current rating seems to be depressed by technical factors and does not appear to reflect the growth prospects.

    • February 13, 2018 Deutsche Beteiligungs – Steady progress in the first quarter of FY18

      Deutsche Beteiligungs (DBAG) reported a 2.7% NAV return for the three months ended 31 December 2017, with the period characterised by a high level of transaction activity at existing portfolio companies. Two new management buyout investments alongside the DBAG ECF fund were completed after the quarter end, with DBAG investing a total of up to €9.1m in specialist aluminium and steel component manufacturer, Sjølund, and fibre optic network services provider, netzkontor nord. Management guidance for FY18 is unchanged, with net income expected to be above the five-year average and NAV return below the five-year average.

    • November 24, 2017 paragon – On track to meet FY17 guidance

      Following recent corporate events, we believe the market is familiar with the paragon growth story. Based on 9M17 results, both paragon and its 60%-owned subsidiary Voltabox are on track to achieve management’s FY17 guidance. Adjusting for Voltabox, paragon’s implied FY17e EV/sales multiple of 0.93x for the electronics and mechanics segments is comparable to peers. Our revenue and earnings estimates are largely unchanged and broadly in line with consensus as we wait for more details on the potential entrance to the autonomous driving market. We have adjusted our DCF valuation from €82.1/share to €86.4/share mainly to reflect the recently completed IPO of Voltabox.

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